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Leishman withdrew from the Byron Nelson during Round 1 before teeing off, citing a back injury. I actually grabbed this line at -105 on Monday when Tournament H2H lines opened and would bet it all the way up to -140. The bet:Р’В Lucas Glover (-115) over Marc Leishman IРІР‚в„ўll take the hotter golfer in Vegas, especially since heРІР‚в„ўs a better fit for the course. Horschel is at a sizable disadvantage off the tee, and he hasnРІР‚в„ўt been particularly great with his second shot irons of late, either. In fact, he currently ranks 21st in the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green Horschel, for reference, ranks just 137th. Mears: My 5 Favorite Underdog PGA Championship Head-to-Head Matchup Bets Read nowР”Р‡urther, heРІР‚в„ўs a pretty decent fit for Bethpage Black given his distance off the tee and hot ball-striking currently. He has been inside the top 30 in each of his last six events, including an impressive third at the Players in March. Vegas is one of the more intriguing longshots in this loaded field given his recent play, which I found - based on past data - has historically been predictive of PGA Championship success. The bet: Jhonattan Vegas (-140) over Billy Horschel Not to mention his horrid tee-to-green game this year, where he ranks 122nd, respectively. If his drives are missing the fairway, heРІР‚в„ўll be struggling to save pars on a course that should be challenging for his overall length.Р”В«ethpage will set up long approach shots for Spieth, an area that heРІР‚в„ўs struggled this season as he ranks 85th in Strokes Gained: Approach. HeРІР‚в„ўll enter this tournament hitting just 64.6% of greens in regulation while hitting 58.9% of fairways over his past four tournaments.

The bet: Jordan Spieth to miss the cut (+220)Р”В¬onsidering this course doesnРІР‚в„ўt fit Spieth at all, and itРІР‚в„ўll be tough conditions out there, this bet doesnРІР‚в„ўt seem too farfetched. This is the kind of inside scoop the Sleeze brings to the tableРІР‚В¦.load up on this one.

I donРІР‚в„ўt think he will be hitting anything into par 4РІР‚в„ўs that donРІР‚в„ўt involve a graphite shaft, and I have serious doubts as to whether or not he can reach a lot of the fairways.

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I played with him six or seven years ago, when he was 44 or so, in a WEB event, and he was without question the shortest player IРІР‚в„ўve ever seen play at a high professional level. There absolutely, positively, could not be a worse course on the planet for Bowden. When I say he is short, I donРІР‚в„ўt mean by PGA Tour standards, I mean he wouldnРІР‚в„ўt be the longest player in your Saturday morning group. Last year, he competed in three WEB.com Tour events, and averaged 257 yards off the tee. ThatРІР‚в„ўs great and all, but hereРІР‚в„ўs the real reason I love this bet:Р”В¬raig Bowden will be the shortest player at the PGA Championship by a landslide. Both of them competed at Bellerive last year as well, where Hocknull bested Bowden by five shots on Thursday and Friday before they both missed the cut. Both Hocknull and Bowden are PGA section pros competing this week at Bethpage. These kind of match-ups donРІР‚в„ўt exist in regular event PGA Tour stops. Your boy Sleeze is going off the grid here to find you a true gem. The bet: Craig Hocknull (-140) over Craig Bowden 1 in the world and earning more OWGR points than any other player in 2019, heРІР‚в„ўs still somehow flying under-the-radar this week - just the way he likes it.Р”Сћ019 PGA Championship Betting Cheat Sheet: Odds, Picks, Longshots & More Read now Drew Stoltz HeРІР‚в„ўs obviously enjoyed success on lengthy golf courses in the past, and soggy courses, and Northeast courses, winning his only major at Oakmont, which owns some similar characteristics to Bethpage.Р”В«ut the reason I most like DJ this week is that despite being No. The truth is, this is a smash spot for Johnson at plus-money, especially considering he finished T-2 at the Masters last month without his best stuff. Well, I picked DJ to win the tourney this week, so yeah, I guess I like him to top-10, too. The bet: Dustin Johnson: Top-10 Finish (+110) Couple that with how well the lengthy Bethpage should suit his skill set and Finau should be in store for a solid week. Finau has hit the top 20 in four of the last five majors and is 7-for-12 overall for his career.

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IРІР‚в„ўm going to keep betting this one at majors until they stop offering plus money. The bet: Tony Finau +150 to Top-20 finish

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